N = 22,662

Model 1

Model 2

OR

(95% CI)

OR

(95% CI)

Individual variables

Age

(Years)

0.977

(0.973 - 0.981)

0.977

(0.973 - 0.981)

Sex

(Female = 1, male = 0)

0.855

(0.773 - 0.946)

0.855

(0.773 - 0.946)

Care level: level 2

(Level 2 = 1, level 1 = 0)

1.278

(1.144 - 1.428)

1.272

(1.137 - 1.422)

Level 3

(Level 3 = 1, level 1 = 0)

1.641

(1.414 - 1.905)

1.633

(1.400 - 1.904)

Level 4

(Level 4 = 1, level 1 = 0)

2.475

(2.056 - 2.980)

2.463

(2.045 - 2.966)

Level 5

(Level 5 = 1, level 1 = 0)

3.185

(2.584 - 3.926)

3.166

(0.257 - 0.390)

Cancer

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

2.249

(1.966 - 2.574)

2.252

(1.970 - 2.575)

Cerebral vascular disorder

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

1.651

(1.308 - 2.084)

1.650

(1.310 - 2.078)

Arthropathy

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

0.999

(0.706 - 1.415)

1.002

(0.708 - 1.419)

Fracture

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

2.048

(1.803 - 2.327)

2.052

(1.806 - 2.330)

Pneumonia

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

3.172

(2.811 - 3.580)

3.177

(2.811 - 3.590)

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

1.544

(1.175 - 2.028)

1.546

(1.180 - 2.026)

Psychiatric

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

2.181

(1.537 - 3.095)

1.491

(1.299 - 1.712)

Neurological disorder

(Present = 1, not present = 0)

1.492

(1.299 - 1.714)

0.713

(0.553 - 0.921)

Community variables

Quality of coordination between physicians and care managers

(Score)

0.878

(0.811 - 0.952)

0.895

(0.828 - 0.966)

Volume of clinics per 10,000 eldely population

(Numbers/10,000)

0.944

(0.914 - 0.974)

Accssibility of home care support clinics

(Rate)

0.713

(0.553 - 0.921)

Constant term

Model fiteness

Akaike information criterion

120261.74

120256.60

Baysian information criterion

120296.80

120264.63