Pooled Poisson Model

Fixed effects Poisson Model

Random effect Poisson Model

Variable

Coefficient

Coefficient

Coefficient

Dangerousdriving

0.000707**

0.0007124**

0.000709**

DriverNegligence

0.000408**

0.0004108**

0.000407**

Cardefect

0.0020841**

0.0020806**

0.0020843**

Fire

0.0349749**

0.0350824**

0.034981**

Cyclist

0.0038588**

0.0038268**

0.0038597**

Motorcycle

0.0010589*

0.0010498*

0.0010579*

Overspeed

0.0019193**

0.0019352**

0.0019183**

Livestockcollection

−0.0319874**

−0.0318558**

−0.0319774**

Rumination

−0.0110285**

−0.0110041**

−0.0110385**

Roadblocks

−0.0038819**

−0.0038733**

−0.0038839**

BadRoads

0.0023125**

0.0023114**

0.0023325**

Overtake

0.00462*

0.0045785*

0.00452*

Pedestrian

−0.0014673**

−0.001472**

−0.0014683**

Pullingoverdevicesroads

−0.0135791**

−0.013567**

−0.0135801

Alcohol

0.0107738**

0.0106363**

0.0107738**

ttrend

−0.2130249*

−0.2136283**

−0.2130249**

Constant/Intercept

5.591488*

5.591488**

/lnalpha

−0.9408104**

−0.9408104**

alpha

0.3903114*

0.3903114**

Sample size

232

232

232

Group number of regions

30

30

30

AIC

4354.252

3860.889

4356.232

Log Likelihood (LB)

−2159.126

−1914.4443

−2158.126