Parameter, ( ${\theta }_t$ )

Time

True Value

Mean

Median

95% Credible Interval

${\theta }_1$

1

0.4331

0.0289

0.0234

(0.0013, 0.0871)

${\theta }_2$

2

0.2219

0.0295

0.0250

(0.0019, 0.0824)

${\theta }_3$

3

0.0695

0.0295

0.0253

(0.0025, 0.0786)

${\theta }_4$

4

0.0282

0.0294

0.0253

(0.0025, 0.0798)

${\theta }_5$

5

0.0024

0.0293

0.0252

(0.0020, 0.0756)

${\theta }_6$

6

0.0062

0.0297

0.0257

(0.0023, 0.0812)

${\theta }_7$

7

0.0050

0.0295

0.0254

(0.0021, 0.0815)

${\theta }_8$

8

0.0006

0.0291

0.0250

(0.0018, 0.0786)

${\theta }_9$

9

0.0136

0.0287

0.0246

(0.0013, 0.0800)

${\theta }_{10}$

10

0.0217

0.0270

0.0226

(0.0012, 0.0807)