Simulation

Diba et al., 2019 RegCM, 50 km resolution

Simulation Odoulami et al., 2017 RegCM, 40 km resolution

Simulation

Saley et al., 2019 RegCM, 50 km resolution

Hydrologic network of greenbelt modules, Huebner, 2020

Reforestation area assumption

Sahara-Sahel

Interface Area: 5 latitudes of Sahel, coast to coast, ca. 2.6 million km2 total area

4 latitudes across semi-arid Sahel savanna ca. 2000 km length, ca. 0.88 million km2 total area

Northern Sahel Area: 1.76 latitudes coast to coast,

ca. 0.92 million km2 total area

Network of existing vegetation and new connective modules (25% trees, 75% grassland).

Example:

Original vegetation: 10%, connective modules: 20%

Vegetation cover %

100% fields and forests

100% forest

100% forest

Example: 30% total vegetation cover

Composition of vegetation

100% crops and trees

100% trees—evergreen broad leafed

100% trees— deciduous needle leaf

Example: 10% original vegetation, planting of 5% native shrubs/trees,

15% grassland as natural succession within modules

Expected reduction in albedo

High: high tree and crop plant cover

Very high: high tree cover, evergreen nature

Very high: high tree cover, evergreen nature

Low: low number of woody plants, native savanna plants reflecting radiation, light color during nine months of dry season

Extreme temperature (T) days, Risk of heatwaves

Risk of extreme T in Central Sahel. Heatwaves increased during summer, decreased in winter

Frequency and duration of heat wave events increased over forested area (Savanna in W Africa)

T max, warm days, and risk of heatwaves increased over forested area

Additional 20% savanna like vegetation will add 5% of native woody plants. More balanced T in restoration area, fewer days of hot dry desert wind, local increase in RH and SMC

Extreme rainfall,

Risk of flooding

Extreme precipitation, flooding

Extreme rainfalls, risk of flooding

Not likely: Savanna with low tree cover, plants adjusted to dry season; compartments