Schedule

Deaths

in millions

Economic Impact

as % of 18-month lockdown

Deaths for R₀ = 3

Deaths for case ratio = 50

(a) immediate

8.26M

10%

9.57M

2.58M

(b) 40% - 100%

4.63M

40%

6.09M*

1.56M

(c) 20% - 100%

3.91M

50%

4.82M

1.35M

(d) 20% - 40% - 100%

3.37M

43%

4.19M

1.09M