Possible changes

Probabilities

Δ x 1 = [ 1,0,0,0 ] T

P 1 = b N e Δ t

Δ x 2 = [ 1,1,0,0 ] T

P 2 = p β B x 1 κ + B Δ t

Δ x 3 = [ 1,0,1,0 ] T

P 3 = q β B x 1 κ + B Δ t

Δ x 4 = [ 0, 1,0,0 ] T

P 4 = d x 2 Δ t

Δ x 5 = [ 1,0,0,0 ] T

P 5 = μ x 1 Δ t

Δ x 6 = [ 0, 1,0,1 ] T

P 6 = r 1 x 2 Δ t

Δ x 7 = [ 0, 1,0,0 ] T

P 7 = μ x 2 Δ t

Δ x 8 = [ 0,0, 1,0 ] T

P 8 = μ x 3 Δ t

Δ x 9 = [ 0,0, 1,1 ] T

P 9 = r 2 x 3 Δ t

Δ x 10 = [ 0,0,0, 1 ] T

P 10 = μ x 4 Δ t