ARDL Cointegrating And Long Run Form Dependent Variable: AGRICULTURAL_PRODUCTION__TON Selected Model: ARDL (1, 6, 6) Sample: 1987-2016 | ||||
Cointegrating Form | ||||
Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_) | −444.376332 | 237.581483 | −1.870417 | 0.0983 |
D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−1)) | −223.925942 | 286.499650 | −0.781592 | 0.4570 |
D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−2)) | −242.345686 | 312.373925 | −0.775819 | 0.4602 |
D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−3)) | −458.327050 | 288.534482 | −1.588465 | 0.1508 |
D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−4)) | −184.959310 | 275.392784 | −0.671620 | 0.5207 |
D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−5)) | 170.794168 | 249.191356 | 0.685394 | 0.5125 |
D (SCULTIVEE_HA_) | 7.789101 | 8.610024 | 0.904655 | 0.3921 |
D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−1)) | −7.629402 | 6.532451 | −1.167923 | 0.2765 |
D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−2)) | −4.323182 | 4.800186 | −0.900628 | 0.3941 |
D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−3)) | −4.328167 | 4.973365 | −0.870269 | 0.4095 |
D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−4)) | −10.702610 | 5.084927 | −2.104772 | 0.0684 |
D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−5)) | −13.423137 | 5.638536 | −2.380607 | 0.0445 |
CointEq (−1) | −1.381301 | 0.261409 | −5.284060 | 0.0007 |
Cointeq = PRODUCTION_AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION__TON − (−607.043999 * PLUVIO_HT_MM_ + 11.360289 * CULTIVATED_AREA_HA + 175151.4064) | ||||
Long Run Coefficients |