ARDL Cointegrating And Long Run Form

Dependent Variable: AGRICULTURAL_PRODUCTION__TON

Selected Model: ARDL (1, 6, 6)

Sample: 1987-2016

Cointegrating Form

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_)

−444.376332

237.581483

−1.870417

0.0983

D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−1))

−223.925942

286.499650

−0.781592

0.4570

D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−2))

−242.345686

312.373925

−0.775819

0.4602

D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−3))

−458.327050

288.534482

−1.588465

0.1508

D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−4))

−184.959310

275.392784

−0.671620

0.5207

D (PLUVIO_HT_MM_(−5))

170.794168

249.191356

0.685394

0.5125

D (SCULTIVEE_HA_)

7.789101

8.610024

0.904655

0.3921

D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−1))

−7.629402

6.532451

−1.167923

0.2765

D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−2))

−4.323182

4.800186

−0.900628

0.3941

D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−3))

−4.328167

4.973365

−0.870269

0.4095

D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−4))

−10.702610

5.084927

−2.104772

0.0684

D (SCULTIVEE_HA_(−5))

−13.423137

5.638536

−2.380607

0.0445

CointEq (−1)

−1.381301

0.261409

−5.284060

0.0007

Cointeq = PRODUCTION_AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION__TON − (−607.043999 * PLUVIO_HT_MM_ + 11.360289 * CULTIVATED_AREA_HA + 175151.4064)

Long Run Coefficients