| Panel I: Yield shocks for corn | Panel II: Yield shocks for cotton | Panel III: Yield shocks for soybeans | ||||||
| Country | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Country | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Country | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 |
| United States | −7.63% | 0.00% | United States | −7.00% | 0.00% | United States | −5.87% | 0.00% |
| Canada | −8.14% | 0.00% | Argentina | −8.37% | 0.00% | Canada | −5.94% | 0.00% |
| Argentina | −8.86% | 2.90% | South Africa | −14.94% | 0.42% | Argentina | 0.00% | 6.23% |
| Philippines | −6.16% | 10.66% | Brazil | 1.57% | −1.35% | South Africa | 0.00% | 6.23% |
| South Africa | −7.15% | 0.33% | Colombia | −10.45% | 0.00% | Uruguay | 0.00% | 6.23% |
| Spain | −3.82% | 5.39% | China | −8.81% | 0.00% | Brazil | 0.00% | 6.23% |
| Uruguay | −4.56% | 0.00% | Mexico | −15.92% | 0.00% | Paraguay | 0.00% | 6.23% |
| Honduras | −1.26% | 16.75% | India | −18.41% | 0.00% | Mexico | 0.00% | 6.23% |
| Portugal | −0.99% | 8.41% | Burkina Faso | −10.02% | 0.00% | Bolivia | −10.82% | 0.00% |
| Czech Republic | −0.23% | 7.35% | Pakistan | −18.00% | 2.27% |
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| Brazil | −10.20% | 5.22% | Burma | −18.82% | 0.00% |
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| Colombia | −2.25% | 14.10% |
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| Paraguay | −2.85% | 1.21% |
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