Parameter

Prior Distribution

Mean Value

SD

MC Error

Confidence Interval (2.5%, 97.5%)

μ S

N(0, 25)

0.4802

0.1682

0.0047

(0.1509, 0.8093)

μ E

N(0, 25)

0.0007

0.1744

0.0048

(−0.3402, 0.3433)

A

beta(20, 1.5)

0.9461

0.0266

0.0015

(0.8686, 0.9802)

H

beta(20, 1.5)

0.9642

0.0249

0.0013

(0.8999, 0.9959)

A H

N(0, 0.1)

0.0969

0.0457

0.0025

(0.038, 0.2224)

H A

N(0, 0.1)

0.0748

0.0543

0.0028

(0.0060, 0.2157)