| State | Poll | Poll | Actual | Actual | Polling Error | Polling Error |
| Clinton | Trump | Clinton | Trump | Clinton | Trump | |
| Alabama | 31 | 53 | 34.6 | 62.9 | 3.6 | 9.9 |
| Alaska | 34 | 37 | 37.7 | 52.9 | 3.7 | 15.9 |
| Arizona | 42.3 | 46.3 | 45.4 | 49.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Arkansas | 32.8 | 53.2 | 33.8 | 60.4 | 1 | 7.2 |
| California | 54.3 | 32 | 61.6 | 32.8 | 7.3 | 0.8 |
| Colorado | 43.3 | 40.4 | 47.2 | 44.4 | 3.9 | 4 |
| Connecticut | 47.5 | 38.2 | 54.5 | 41.2 | 7 | 3 |
| Delaware | 46.5 | 31 | 53.4 | 41.9 | 6.9 | 10.9 |
| Florida | 46.4 | 46.6 | 47.8 | 49.1 | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| Georgia | 44.4 | 49.2 | 45.6 | 51.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Hawaii | 50.5 | 28 | 62.3 | 30.1 | 11.8 | 2.1 |
| Idaho | 26 | 50 | 27.6 | 59.2 | 1.6 | 9.2 |
| Illinois | 49 | 37.5 | 55.4 | 39.4 | 6.4 | 1.9 |
| Indiana | 38.3 | 49 | 37.9 | 57.2 | −0.4 | 8.2 |
| Iowa | 41.3 | 44.3 | 42.2 | 51.8 | 0.9 | 7.5 |
| Kansas | 34.6 | 48 | 36.2 | 57.2 | 1.6 | 9.2 |
| Kentucky | 36.5 | 51.5 | 32.7 | 62.5 | −3.8 | 11 |
| Louisiana | 35.6 | 48.8 | 38.4 | 58.1 | 2.8 | 9.3 |
| Maine | 44 | 39.5 | 47.9 | 45.2 | 3.9 | 5.7 |
| Maryland | 60.3 | 26.6 | 60.5 | 35.3 | 0.2 | 8.7 |
| Massachusetts | 55.7 | 26.3 | 60.8 | 33.5 | 5.1 | 7.2 |
| Michigan | 45.4 | 42 | 47.3 | 47.6 | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| Minnesota | 39.6 | 45.8 | 46.9 | 45.4 | 7.3 | -0.4 |
| Mississippi | 41 | 50 | 39.7 | 58.3 | −1.3 | 8.3 |
| Missouri | 39.3 | 50.3 | 38 | 57.1 | −1.3 | 6.8 |
| Montana | 31.5 | 46.5 | 36 | 56.5 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Nebraska | 29 | 56 | 34 | 60.3 | 5 | 4.3 |
| Nevada | 45 | 45.8 | 47.9 | 45.5 | 2.9 | -0.3 |
| New Hampshire | 43.3 | 42.7 | 47.6 | 47.2 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| New Jersey | 48.7 | 37 | 55 | 41.8 | 6.3 | 4.8 |
| New Mexico | 45.3 | 40.3 | 48.3 | 40 | 3 | -0.3 |
| New York | 50.3 | 31.3 | 58.8 | 37.5 | 8.5 | 6.2 |
| North Carolina | 45.5 | 46.5 | 46.7 | 50.5 | 1.2 | 4 |
| North Dakota | 29 | 47 | 27.8 | 64.1 | −1.2 | 17.1 |