Dependent variable

Group

Constant

Coefficients of independent variables

R2

Sign. F

Loans/Nominal GDP (rev.)

C

Unemp. (+1 lag)

Net interest margin (rev.)

HTBLFS

0.98

0.003

−0.013

0.47

0.043

LTBHFS

0.82

0.10

−0.01

0.82

0.000

HTBHFS

0.92

0.08

0.01

0.53

0.022

LTBLFS

0.58

0.47

−0.02

0.65

0.006

Budget deficit (rev.)

C

Tax burden

GDP

HTBLFS

−0.57

1.12

0.48

0.61

0.009

LTBHFS

HTBHFS

−3.06

5.12

0.41

0.47

0.040

LTBLFS

−0.28

0.67

0.57

0.43

0.062*

Loans to private sector/Nominal GDP

C

Real GDP growth

Net interest margin (rev.)

Unempl. (+1 lag)

HTBLFS

LTBHFS

HTBHFS

0.27

0.23

−0.25

0.39

0.93

0.000

LTBLFS

−0.15

0.01

0.40

0.70

0.64

0.023

Non-performing loans (rev.)

C

Real GDP growth

Net interest margin (rev.)

Loans/GDP

HTBLFS

11.397

2.85

−0.77

−12.47

0.84

0.001

LTBHFS

−5.26

1.12

−0.19

6.41

0.89

0.000

HTBHFS

LTBLFS

3.93

0.85

−0.78

5.60

0.81

0.001

Z-score

C

Loans/GDP

Net interest margin (rev.)

Capital/assets

HTBLFS

−0.12

0.35

−0.16

0.32

0.77

0.003

LTBHFS

−4.16

4.76

0.22

0.67

0.90

0.000

HTBHFS

−2.59

2.69

0.59

0.54

0.82

0.001

LTBLFS

0.64

−0.50

−0.04

0.60

0.71

0.008

Liquidity ratio

C

Non-perfor. loans (rev.)

Net interest margin (rev.)

Deposits/M3

Real GDP gro.

HTBLFS

0.21

0.27

−0.14

−0.11

−0.13

0.72

0.024

LTBHFS

0.72

0.50

0.15

−0.92

−0.59

0.67

0.045

HTBHFS

LTBLFS

−0.13

0.03

0.14

−0.01

1.05

0.83

0.003