UC: p-value

(0.423)

(0.838)

(0.423)

(1.000)

(0.838)

(0.678)

(0.530)

(1.000)

(0.319)

(0.319)

(0.836)

(0.678)

APARCH

6.2%

4.5%

5.6%

5.8%

6.2%

5.2%

4.0%

4.8%

5.6%

6.2%

4.6%

4.4%

UC: p-value

(0.235)

(0.678)

(0.546)

(0.423)

(0.235)

(0.838)

(0.288)

(0.836)

(0.546)

(0.235)

(0.673)

(0.530)

GARCH-EVT

3.8%

4.2%

5.0%

5.4%

5.0%

4.8%

3.6%

5.0%

5.0%

5.8%

5.0%

4.0%

UC: p-value

(0.199)

(0.399)

(1.000)

(0.685)

(1.000)

(0.836)

(0.131)

(1.000)

(1.000)

(0.423)

(1.000)

(0.288)

1% level of significance

GARCH

1.8%

1.8%

2.2%

1.8%

1.4%

1.8%

1.8%

1%

1.8%

1.6%

1.4%

1.4%

UC: p-value

(0.106)

(0.106)

**

(0.106)

(0.397)

(0.106)

(0.106)

(1.000)

(0.106)

(0.215)

(0.397)

(0.397)

EGARCH

1.8%

1.8%

2.2%

2.2%

1.6%

2.6%

1.6%

1.2%

1.6%

1.4%

1.4%

1.6%

UC: p-value

(0.106)

(0.106)

**

**

(0.215)

**

(0.215)

(0.663)

(0.215)

(0.397)

(0.397)

(0.215)

GJR-GARCH

1.6%

2.0%

2.2%

2.2%

1.4%

2.2%

1.6%

1.0%

1.2%

1.2%

1.2%

1.4%

UC: p-value

(0.215)

**

**

**

(0.397)

**

(0.215)

(1.000)

(0.663)

(0.663)

(0.663)

(0.397)

APARCH

1.4%

1.8%

2.2%

2.0%

1.6%

2.4%

1.4%

0.8%

1.4%

1.4%

1.4%

1.6%

UC: p-value

(0.897)

(0.106)

**

**

(0.215)

**

(0.397)

(0.641)

(0.397)

(0.397)

(0.397)

(0.215)

GARCH-EVT

1.0%

1.8%

1.8%

1.8%

1.2%

1.6%

1.6%

0.8%

1.6%

1.2%

1.2%

1.2%

UC: p-value

(1.000)

(0.106)

(0.106)

(0.106)

(0.663)

(0.215)

(0.215)

(0.641)

(0.215)

(0.663)

(0.663)

(0.663)

1000 window

5% level of significance

GARCH

4.8% (3)

4.4%

6.3%

5.3%

5.3%

5.3%

5.0%

4.4%

5.6%

5.6%

4.8%

4.1%

UC: p-value

(0.770)

(0.375)

(0.069)

(0.666)

(0.666)

(0.666)

(1.000)

(0.375)

(0.393)

(0.393)

(0.770)

(0.178)

EGARCH

5.1% (2)

4.3%

4.3%

4.3%

4.9%

3.9%

4.5%

4.6%

5.6%

5.9%

4.5%

4.0%

LRUC p-value

(0.885)

(0.299)

(0.299)

(0.299)

(0.884)

(0.097)

(0.461)

(0.557)

(0.393)

(0.204)

(0.461)

(0.133)

GJR-GARCH

4.5% (4)

4.4%

4.9%

3.9%

4.6%

3.7%

4.2%

3.8%

5.3%

5.5%

3.9%

4.1%

UC: p-value

(0.461)

(0.375)

(0.884)

(0.097)

(0.557)

**

(0.233)

(0.070)

(0.666)

(0.475)

(0.097)

(0.178)

APARCH

4.9% (1)

3.9%

4.5%

4.4%

4.8%

4.1%

4.3%

4.0%

5.4%

5.7%

4.3%

4.0%

UC: p-value

(0.884)

(0.097)

(0.461)

(0.375)

(0.770)

(0.178)

(0.299)

(0.133)

(0.566)

(0.320)

(0.299)

(0.133)

GARCH-EVT

3.3% (5)

3.5%

3.7%

4.1%

4.2%

3.4%

4.0%

3.6%

4.6%

4.6%

3.9%

3.8%

UC: p-value

**

**

**

(0.178)

(0.233)

**

(0.133)

**

(0.557)

(0.557)

(0.097)

(0.069)

1% level of significance

GARCH

1.5% (4)

1.4% (5)

1.1% (2)

1.0% (1)

0.9% (1)

1.2%

1.5%

0.9%

1.6%

1.3%

0.9%

1.4%

UC: p-value

(0.139)

(0.231)

(0.754)

(1.000)

(0.746)

(0.538)

(0.139)

(0.746)

(0.097)

(0.362)

(0.746)

(0.231)

EGARCH

1.5% (4)

1.3% (4)

1.3% (5)

1.3% (5)

0.8% (3)

1.4%

1.2%

0.8%

1.5%

1.1%

1.1%

1.5%

UC: p-value

(0.139)

(0.362)

(0.362)

(0.362)

(0.510)

(0.231)

(0.538)

(0.510)

(0.139)

(0.754)

(0.754)

(0.139)

GJR-GARCH

1.2% (2)

1.2% (1)

1.1% (3)

1.2% (5)

0.8%

1.1%

1.2%

0.9%

1.2%

1.2%

0.8%

1.4%

UC: p-value

(0.538)

(0.538)

(0.754)

(0.538)

(0.510)

(0.754)

(0.538)

(0.746)

(0.538)

(0.538)

(0.510)

(0.231)

APARCH

1.3% (3)

1.2% (1)

1.1% (3) (2)

1.1% (3)

0.9% (1)

1.3%

1.3%

0.8%

1.4%

1.1%

1.0%

1.5%

UC: p-value

(0.362)

(0.538)

(0.754)

(0.754)

(0.746)

(0.362)

(0.362)

(0.510)

(0.231)

(0.754)

(1.000)

(0.139)

GARCH-EVT

1.0% (1)

1.2% (1)

0.9% (1)

0.9% (2)

0.8% (3)

0.8%

1.3%

0.8%

1.3%

0.9%

0.9%

1.3%

UC: p-value

(1.000)

(0.538)

(0.746)

(0.746)

(0.510)

(0.510)

(0.362)

(0.510)

(0.362)

(0.746)

(0.746)

(0.362)