Estimated number of resolved faults at present

exponential model

delayed S-shaped model

infection S-shaped model

parameter

α

1.019 × 104

7.887 × 104

6.054 × 103

β

1.501 × 10−3

2.767 × 10−3

7.143 × 10−2

c

-

-

4.350 × 102

σ

1.697 × 10−3

1.395 × 10−4

1.595 × 10−3

AIC

534.055

488.803

460.932