Scenario

Content

Demand-side Setting

Supply-side Setting

(In some industries, by 2025)

Baseline

Ÿ To observe the rate of technical progress through the historical data from 2011 to 2015.

Ÿ To use this rate to carry out economic simulation estimates for 2016-2025.

Scenario 1

The effect of government policies only.

Investment of USD 600 million in 4 to 5 years

Ÿ +30% labor efficiency

Ÿ +3% technical efficiency

Scenario 2

The effect of private investment only.

Investment of USD 300 million in 2 to 3 years

Ÿ +40% labor efficiency

Ÿ +4% technical efficiency

Scenario 3

The effect of public and private investment together.

Investment of USD 900 million in 4 to 5 years

Ÿ +50% labor efficiency

Ÿ +5% technical efficiency