Model Approach

RMSE

MAE

MPE

MAPE

MASE

Total Fishery Landings (TFL)

Training set

Naïve

34,601.240

23,756.570

4.802

11.386

1.000

ETS (MN)

38,555.670

26,070.540

−3.900

11.910

1.097

ARIMA

33,552.200

23,103.790

−3.643

12.606

0.973

ANN

31,787.550

21,790.550

−3.072

11.222

0.917

Test set

Naïve

33,516.810

27,312.900

−5.423

7.694

1.150

ETS (MN)

43,310.440

35,583.770

−8.817

10.051

1.498

ARIMA

69,589.190

60,919.700

−16.053

16.998

2.564

ANN

35,431.410

28,760.270

−6.190

8.121

1.211

Sardinella Madrensis Landings (SML)

Training set

Naïve

21.800

14.540

−222.036

259.513

1.000

ETS (NN)

15.725

11.596

−190.238

208.178

0.798

ARIMA

14.003

10.671

−145.741

171.006

0.734

ANN

4.000

2.990

−33.284

41.305

0.206

Test set

Naïve

15.994

12.200

−27.503

74.212

0.839

ETS (NN)

15.266

11.800

−45.206

82.238

0.812

ARIMA

20.763

14.824

34.703

51.093

1.020

ANN

16.796

12.460

−13.516

67.634

0.857