Technique

Total fishery landings (TFL)

S. maderensis landings (SML)

Model

AIC

AICC

BIC

Model

AIC

AICC

BIC

Exponential Smoothing

NN

1320.55

1320.79

1324.53

NN

481.77

482.02

485.64*

AN

1308.01

1308.83

1315.97

AN

478.01*

478.88*

485.73

MN

1307.13

1307.95

1315.09*

MN

496.06

496.93

503.79

AdN

1310.62

1311.87

1320.57

AdN

485.11

486.44

494.77

MdN

1306.28*

1307.53*

1316.22

MdN

481.40

482.73

491.06

Total fishery landings (TFL)

S. maderensis landings (SML)

Model

AIC

AICC

BIC

Model

AIC

AICC

BIC

ARIMA Method

(0, 1, 0)

1260.28

1260.36

1262.25

(0, 1, 1)

422.07

422.32

425.89

(0, 1, 1)

1261.99

1262.23

1265.93

(1, 1, 1)

423.03

423.55

428.77

(1, 1, 0)

1262.03

1262.27

1265.97

-

-

-

-

Model with drift

Model with drift

(0, 1, 0)

1236.31*

1236.55*

1240.25*

(1, 1, 0)

425.26

425.78

430.99

(0, 1, 1)

1237.38

1237.87

1243.29

(0, 1, 1)

408.53*

409.05*

414.27*

(1, 1, 0)

1237.63

1238.12

1243.54

(1, 1, 1)

409.10

409.98

416.74

-

-

-

-

(2, 1, 1)

411.02

412.38

420.58