M 1

M 2

High street

λ

0.41

ε

0.478

η

1

ζ

0.77

M 1

M 2

Data

M 1

M 2

Preferences

Targets

β

0.9945

0.9948

std ( g t )

3.3

3.56

3.56

ρ

0.9

0.88

acorr ( g t )

0.3

0.4

0.37

α

−28

−29

std ( i t )

2.72

2.74

2.86

Taylor rule

acorr ( i t )

0.96

0.90

0.90

ν π

1.64

1.64

std ( i t ( 28 ) )

2.44

2.18

2.18

ν y

0.85

0.85

acorr ( i t ( 28 ) )

0.98

0.99

0.99

Stochastic processes

std ( E t r X , t + 1 ( 28 ) )

4.08

0.82

0.81

ϕ z

0.886

0.886

acorr ( E t r X , t + 1 ( 28 ) )

0.88

0.80

0.80

ϕ s

0.999

0.999

std ( π t )

2.80

3.12

3.41

ϕ μ

0.999

0.999

corr ( π t , g t )

−0.26

−0.3

−0.27

a z

0.014

0.014

corr ( π t , P C 1 t )

0.71

0.81

0.79

a s

4.0257e4

4.0922e4

corr ( E t r X , t + 1 ( 28 ) , g t + 1 )

0.30

0.42

0.58

θ

0.8

0.8

E ( i t )

5.55

5.55

5.55

B 11

0.0053

0.001

E ( i t ( 4 ) )

6.03

5.90

5.90

B 22

0.002

0.002

E ( i t ( 28 ) )

6.80

7.08

7.08

B 33

2.32e4

2.32e4

b 4

0.23

0.23