Notation

Description

BWP

Botswana Pula

S ( t )

Beef-cattle price at time t

S ¯

Average beef-cattle price

S 1 ( t ) , S 2 ( t )

Farmer-BMC price and BMC-EU respectively price at time

( for simplicity we have denoted by x 1 and x 2 respectively)

a 1 , a 2

Respective residuals for S 1 and S 2

r

The Pearson’s correlation coefficient

r ( t )

Rate of return

r 1 , r 2

Returns for x 1 and x 2 respectively

x

Prime symbol (for derivative)

Integral sign

d ( . )

Differential sign

σ 1 , σ 2

Rate of volatilities for Farmer-BMC price and BMC-EU respectively price

ω ( B )

Transfer function

S 1 , t d , S 2 , t d

Incremental changes for Farmer-BMC prices and BMC-EU prices respectively

E [ . ]

Expectation operator

T τ ϵ

Smaller between T and τ ϵ , where ϵ is an arbitrary small number

β t = ϕ p ( B ) S 1 , t

Autoregressive process AR(p) of order p

where, ϕ ( B ) = 1 ϕ 1 B ϕ p B p

α t = θ q ( B ) S 2 , t

Moving average MA(q) of order q

where, θ ( B ) = 1 θ 1 B θ q B q

Δ t , i = t i t i 1

Time interval

( . )

Probability of ( . )