Station

Porte Mnteau lack test

Ljung-Box Q(LBQ)

Model

Q

χ2table

Decision

Q(r)

χ2table

Decision

Malakal

58.73

60.48

residuals are independent

59.67

60.48

residuals are independent

DARMA models(p, q)

Eldiem

34.72

61.65

36.4

61.65

Khartoum

54.25

58.12

56.14

58.12

Atbara

56.38

59.3

58.26

59.3

Dongola

50.25

54.57

53.35

54.57

Malakal

45.64

55.75

residuals are independent

54.57

55.75

residuals are independent

SARIMA models (p, d, q) × (P, D, Q)12

Eldiem

51.39

60.48

52.32

60.48

Khartoum

60.99

61.78

61.43

61.78

Atbara

59.65

61.78

61.49

61.78

Dongola

48.78

58.16

55.92

58.16