Variables

RCP6.0

RCP8.5

Daymet

Mesonet

Daymet

Mesonet

Rainfall (mm)

CSIRO-Mk3.6.0

−18.24

−27.10

−19.18

−27.91

Ensemble of Four Models

−17.59

−26.51

−16.94

−25.79

Ensemble of Seventeen Models

−18.57

−27.45

−17.20

−26.09

HadGEM2-ES

−16.85

−25.78

−17.09

−25.91

MRI-CGCM3

−19.23

−28.09

−15.90

−24.95

MRIOC5

−15.82

−24.65

−14.77

−23.57

Average

Coefficient of variation (%)

−17.72 ± 1.24

1.51

−26.60 ± 1.24

1.69

−16.84 ± 1.47

1.77

−25.70 ± 1.42

1.92

Solar Radiation (MJ m−2 d−1)

CSIRO-Mk3.6.0

−6.20

−2.70

−5.32

−1.73

Ensemble of Four Models

−7.12

−3.67

−6.69

−3.13

Ensemble of Seventeen Models

−7.04

−3.51

−6.50

−2.92

HadGEM2-ES

−7.54

−4.12

−7.41

−3.81

MRI-CGCM3

−8.39

−5.18

−7.77

−4.49

MRIOC5

−6.62

−2.94

−6.62

−2.84

Average

Coefficient of variation (%)

−7.15 ± 0.76

0.82

−3.69 ± 0.89

0.93

−6.72 ± 0.85

0.91

−3.15 ± 0.94

0.97

Maximum Temperature (˚C)

CSIRO-Mk3.6.0

10.18

9.07

15.13

13.94

Ensemble of Four Models

10.18

9.06

14.56

13.38

Ensemble of Seventeen Models

9.89

8.77

13.81

12.62

HadGEM2-ES

12.34

11.24

17.16

15.98

MRI-CGCM3

4.64

3.49

7.69

6.51

MRIOC5

13.54

12.44

18.27

17.07

Average

Coefficient of variation (%)

10.13 ± 3.06

2.78

9.01 ± 3.07

2.82

14.44 ± 3.70

3.22

13.25 ± 3.70

3.27

Minimum Temperature (˚C)

CSIRO-Mk3.6.0

24.45

17.92

35.32

28.37

Ensemble of Four Models

26.59

19.98

37.14

30.12

Ensemble of Seventeen Models

24.18

17.66

33.95

27.06

HadGEM2-ES

30.73

23.96

42.11

34.90

MRI-CGCM3

17.34

11.07

25.14

18.58

MRIOC5

33.83

26.94

45.97

38.62

Average

Coefficient of variation (%)

26.19 ± 5.74

4.55

19.59 ± 5.52

4.62

36.61 ± 7.19

5.26

29.61 ± 6.92

5.34