Variables | RCP6.0 | RCP8.5 | ||
Daymet | Mesonet | Daymet | Mesonet | |
Rainfall (mm) | ||||
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | −18.24 | −27.10 | −19.18 | −27.91 |
Ensemble of Four Models | −17.59 | −26.51 | −16.94 | −25.79 |
Ensemble of Seventeen Models | −18.57 | −27.45 | −17.20 | −26.09 |
HadGEM2-ES | −16.85 | −25.78 | −17.09 | −25.91 |
MRI-CGCM3 | −19.23 | −28.09 | −15.90 | −24.95 |
MRIOC5 | −15.82 | −24.65 | −14.77 | −23.57 |
Average Coefficient of variation (%) | −17.72 ± 1.24 1.51 | −26.60 ± 1.24 1.69 | −16.84 ± 1.47 1.77 | −25.70 ± 1.42 1.92 |
Solar Radiation (MJ m−2 d−1) | ||||
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | −6.20 | −2.70 | −5.32 | −1.73 |
Ensemble of Four Models | −7.12 | −3.67 | −6.69 | −3.13 |
Ensemble of Seventeen Models | −7.04 | −3.51 | −6.50 | −2.92 |
HadGEM2-ES | −7.54 | −4.12 | −7.41 | −3.81 |
MRI-CGCM3 | −8.39 | −5.18 | −7.77 | −4.49 |
MRIOC5 | −6.62 | −2.94 | −6.62 | −2.84 |
Average Coefficient of variation (%) | −7.15 ± 0.76 0.82 | −3.69 ± 0.89 0.93 | −6.72 ± 0.85 0.91 | −3.15 ± 0.94 0.97 |
Maximum Temperature (˚C) | ||||
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | 10.18 | 9.07 | 15.13 | 13.94 |
Ensemble of Four Models | 10.18 | 9.06 | 14.56 | 13.38 |
Ensemble of Seventeen Models | 9.89 | 8.77 | 13.81 | 12.62 |
HadGEM2-ES | 12.34 | 11.24 | 17.16 | 15.98 |
MRI-CGCM3 | 4.64 | 3.49 | 7.69 | 6.51 |
MRIOC5 | 13.54 | 12.44 | 18.27 | 17.07 |
Average Coefficient of variation (%) | 10.13 ± 3.06 2.78 | 9.01 ± 3.07 2.82 | 14.44 ± 3.70 3.22 | 13.25 ± 3.70 3.27 |
Minimum Temperature (˚C) | ||||
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | 24.45 | 17.92 | 35.32 | 28.37 |
Ensemble of Four Models | 26.59 | 19.98 | 37.14 | 30.12 |
Ensemble of Seventeen Models | 24.18 | 17.66 | 33.95 | 27.06 |
HadGEM2-ES | 30.73 | 23.96 | 42.11 | 34.90 |
MRI-CGCM3 | 17.34 | 11.07 | 25.14 | 18.58 |
MRIOC5 | 33.83 | 26.94 | 45.97 | 38.62 |
Average Coefficient of variation (%) | 26.19 ± 5.74 4.55 | 19.59 ± 5.52 4.62 | 36.61 ± 7.19 5.26 | 29.61 ± 6.92 5.34 |