M C ( Ω ) ( O 1 , S [ ω 0 ] )

( = P 1 )

M C ( Ω ) ( Φ t 1 , t 2 O 2 , S [ ω 0 ] )

( = P 2 )

probability:

p = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i

[ ¬ P 1 ¬ P 2 ]

[ P 2 P 1 ]

T

T

p 12 = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( T , T ) } )

T

T

T

F

p 1 2 ¯ = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( T , F ) } )

F

F

F

T

p 1 ¯ 2 = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( F , T ) } )

T

T

F

F

p 1 ¯ 2 ¯ = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( F , F ) } )

T

T