Model | ME | RMSE | MAE | MPE | MAPE | MASE | AICc |
DHR with ARIMA(2, 0, 1) error | 8447.324 | 148729.5 | 92906.71 | 43052.44 | 48766.5 | 0.1582 | −18.38 |
ARIMA(2,1,0)(0, 1, 0) [52] | −4511.181 | 132336.8 | 57721.63 | −3.0858 | 8.7082 | 0.0983 | 1711.99 |
Dynamic Regression | 16520.74 | 162314.7 | 94507.58 | 0.1878 | 19.2053 | 0.1609 | 3105.5 |
with ARIMA(2, 1, 3) error |
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Log transformation | 0.00654 | 0.25964 | 0.18395 | 0.26225 | 1.8929 | 0.10279 | −419.08 |
ARIMA(1, 1, 5)(0, 0, 1) [52] |
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Log transformation DHR | 0.01285 | 0.1753 | 0.13024 | 0.34485 | 1.4169 | 0.0728 | 15.88 |