Term

Coeff

SE

t-stat

P-Value

ar1

−0.16

0.10

−1.64

0.10

ar2

0.20

0.10

2.14

0.03

ar3

0.35

0.10

3.55

0.00

intercept

178,540

4103.90

43.50

0.00

Zt

6052

3663.60

1.65

0.10

Zt2

3763

1663.70

2.26

0.02

Zt3

11,731

1772.80

6.62

0.00

DFeb

−15,770

5431.90

−2.90

0.00

DMar

9228

4707.30

1.96

0.05

DApr

−7972

4362.70

−1.83

0.07

DMay

793

5191.00

0.15

0.88

DJun

−11,732

4862.10

−2.41

0.02

DJul

−1369

4739.50

−0.29

0.77

DAug

−4392

4763.40

−0.92

0.36

DSep

−1814

5019.50

−0.36

0.72

DOct

1863

4253.80

0.44

0.66

DNov

−6755

4559.50

−1.48

0.14

DDec

−26,473

5427.20

−4.88

0.00

D9_11

−12,800

4694.60

−2.73

0.01