Results Chain Level

Effect

Indicator

Baseline

(2004)

Target

(2011)

Actual

(2011)

Judgement

Outputs

To rehabilitate the road between Arusha and Athi River

Km of road

0

242

232

Positive

To reduce cost of cross-border transactions

N. of OSBP

0

1

0

Negative

To study the feasibility of other cross-border roads

N. of cross-border road design studies

0

2

2

Positive

To improve the technical capacity of the EAC

N. of new engineers in EAC’s rank

0

2

0

Very negative

To improve knowledge on contracting capacity in East Africa

N. of reports

0

1

0

Very negative

Outcomes

To increase traffic between Arusha and Athi River

Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT)

-

+36%

+45%^*

Positive

To reduce travel time

Travel time (minutes)

240

150

150

Very Positive

To reduce cost of trip

Vehicles operating cost (USD per vehicle/km)

0.56

0.45

0.42

Very Positive

To increase road safety

N. of accidents

-

-

-

Uncertain

Development Impacts

To increase cross-border trade

Freight crossing the border at Namanga (tonnes/years)

104,000

131,000

-

Positive^**

To enhance tourism

N, of tourists crossing the borders

-

-

-

Positive^**

To boost socio economic development

N, of new businesses along the road

-

-

-

Positive^**