Success correct or incorrect

Prediction model

Result of multiple regression analysis

No

Actual

Prediction

Deference

Constant

Partial regression coefficient

Explanation valuable

Multiple correlation coefficient

Decision coefficient

F-value

P-value

i

RSDi

psdi

rsdi

ei

r0

r1

r2

5249dm

5249rdm

R

R2

F

P

1

1

−0.114

0

1

0.2595

−1.6412

−0.0064

0.2083

5.0000

0.5730

0.3283

4.1551

0.0339

2

1

−0.023

1

0

0.2894

−1.5792

−0.0073

0.1429

12.0000

0.5835

0.3404

4.1291

0.0358

3

0

−0.007

0

0

0.3018

−1.5336

−0.0069

0.2000

0.2632

0.5530

0.3058

3.7447

0.0449

4

1

0.090

1

0

0.2538

−1.5246

−0.0065

0.0645

10.0000

0.5390

0.2905

3.4807

0.0541

5

1

0.193

1

0

0.2549

−1.5188

−0.0062

0.0408

0.0179

0.5265

0.2773

3.2607

0.0633

6

0

0.100

0

0

0.3180

−1.5993

−0.0071

0.1333

0.2632

0.5744

0.3299

4.1848

0.0333

7

0

0.081

0

0

0.3091

−1.6451

−0.0055

0.0520

26.0000

0.5678

0.3224

4.0437

0.0366

8

1

0.168

1

0

0.2547

−1.5075

−0.0065

0.0148

10.0000

0.5292

0.2801

3.3067

0.0612

9

1

0.022

1

0

0.2534

−1.5706

−0.0061

0.1471

0.1064

0.5490

0.3015

3.6682

0.0474

10

0

0.002

0

0

0.3030

−1.5398

−0.0069

0.1918

0.8311

0.5547

0.3076

3.7770

0.0439

11

1

0.226

1

0

0.2566

−1.5115

−0.0063

0.0039

4.0000

0.5234

0.2739

3.2069

0.0658

12

1

0.197

1

0

0.2551

−1.5183

−0.0062

0.0378

0.0352

0.5261

0.2768

3.2525

0.0637

13

0

−1.757

0

0

0.4141

−2.8916

−0.0074

0.7499

0.4148

0.5916

0.3500

4.5777

0.0257

14

1

0.121

1

0

0.2541

−1.5042

−0.0067

0.0171

16.0000

0.5346

0.2858

3.4008

0.0572

15

0

−0.141

0

0

0.2869

−1.4850

−0.0068

0.2872

0.1555

0.5311

0.2821

3.3398

0.0598

16

0

0.185

1

1

0.2432

−1.5066

0.0004

0.0653

97.0000

0.5143

0.2645

3.0574

0.0734

17

0

−0.255

0

0

0.2792

−1.4768

−0.0066

0.3611

0.1741

0.5174

0.2677

3.1066

0.0708

18

1

0.257

1

0

0.2581

−1.5161

−0.0062

0.0008

0.0004

0.5207

0.2711

3.1620

0.0680

19

0

0.278

1

1

0.3495

−1.7391

−0.0075

0.0407

0.0348

0.6122

0.3748

5.0954

0.0185

20

1

0.174

1

0

0.2543

−1.5214

−0.0062

0.0528

0.0232

0.5286

0.2794

3.2955

0.0617

21

0

0.064

0

0

0.3120

−1.5733

−0.0071

0.1569

0.0976

0.5666

0.3210

4.0186

0.0372

Number of predictive error

3

i: Sample No (i = 1 ~ 2)

F0 (2, 20, 0.05) = 3.4928

HR hitting ratio (%)

86

F0 (2, 20, 0.01 ) = 5.8489