Success correct or incorrect | Prediction model | Result of multiple regression analysis | |||||||||||
No | Actual | Prediction | Deference | Constant | Partial regression coefficient | Explanation valuable | Multiple correlation coefficient | Decision coefficient | F-value | P-value | |||
i | RSDi | psdi | rsdi | ei | r0 | r1 | r2 | 5249dm | 5249rdm | R | R2 | F | P |
1 | 1 | −0.114 | 0 | 1 | 0.2595 | −1.6412 | −0.0064 | 0.2083 | 5.0000 | 0.5730 | 0.3283 | 4.1551 | 0.0339 |
2 | 1 | −0.023 | 1 | 0 | 0.2894 | −1.5792 | −0.0073 | 0.1429 | 12.0000 | 0.5835 | 0.3404 | 4.1291 | 0.0358 |
3 | 0 | −0.007 | 0 | 0 | 0.3018 | −1.5336 | −0.0069 | 0.2000 | 0.2632 | 0.5530 | 0.3058 | 3.7447 | 0.0449 |
4 | 1 | 0.090 | 1 | 0 | 0.2538 | −1.5246 | −0.0065 | 0.0645 | 10.0000 | 0.5390 | 0.2905 | 3.4807 | 0.0541 |
5 | 1 | 0.193 | 1 | 0 | 0.2549 | −1.5188 | −0.0062 | 0.0408 | 0.0179 | 0.5265 | 0.2773 | 3.2607 | 0.0633 |
6 | 0 | 0.100 | 0 | 0 | 0.3180 | −1.5993 | −0.0071 | 0.1333 | 0.2632 | 0.5744 | 0.3299 | 4.1848 | 0.0333 |
7 | 0 | 0.081 | 0 | 0 | 0.3091 | −1.6451 | −0.0055 | 0.0520 | 26.0000 | 0.5678 | 0.3224 | 4.0437 | 0.0366 |
8 | 1 | 0.168 | 1 | 0 | 0.2547 | −1.5075 | −0.0065 | 0.0148 | 10.0000 | 0.5292 | 0.2801 | 3.3067 | 0.0612 |
9 | 1 | 0.022 | 1 | 0 | 0.2534 | −1.5706 | −0.0061 | 0.1471 | 0.1064 | 0.5490 | 0.3015 | 3.6682 | 0.0474 |
10 | 0 | 0.002 | 0 | 0 | 0.3030 | −1.5398 | −0.0069 | 0.1918 | 0.8311 | 0.5547 | 0.3076 | 3.7770 | 0.0439 |
11 | 1 | 0.226 | 1 | 0 | 0.2566 | −1.5115 | −0.0063 | 0.0039 | 4.0000 | 0.5234 | 0.2739 | 3.2069 | 0.0658 |
12 | 1 | 0.197 | 1 | 0 | 0.2551 | −1.5183 | −0.0062 | 0.0378 | 0.0352 | 0.5261 | 0.2768 | 3.2525 | 0.0637 |
13 | 0 | −1.757 | 0 | 0 | 0.4141 | −2.8916 | −0.0074 | 0.7499 | 0.4148 | 0.5916 | 0.3500 | 4.5777 | 0.0257 |
14 | 1 | 0.121 | 1 | 0 | 0.2541 | −1.5042 | −0.0067 | 0.0171 | 16.0000 | 0.5346 | 0.2858 | 3.4008 | 0.0572 |
15 | 0 | −0.141 | 0 | 0 | 0.2869 | −1.4850 | −0.0068 | 0.2872 | 0.1555 | 0.5311 | 0.2821 | 3.3398 | 0.0598 |
16 | 0 | 0.185 | 1 | 1 | 0.2432 | −1.5066 | 0.0004 | 0.0653 | 97.0000 | 0.5143 | 0.2645 | 3.0574 | 0.0734 |
17 | 0 | −0.255 | 0 | 0 | 0.2792 | −1.4768 | −0.0066 | 0.3611 | 0.1741 | 0.5174 | 0.2677 | 3.1066 | 0.0708 |
18 | 1 | 0.257 | 1 | 0 | 0.2581 | −1.5161 | −0.0062 | 0.0008 | 0.0004 | 0.5207 | 0.2711 | 3.1620 | 0.0680 |
19 | 0 | 0.278 | 1 | 1 | 0.3495 | −1.7391 | −0.0075 | 0.0407 | 0.0348 | 0.6122 | 0.3748 | 5.0954 | 0.0185 |
20 | 1 | 0.174 | 1 | 0 | 0.2543 | −1.5214 | −0.0062 | 0.0528 | 0.0232 | 0.5286 | 0.2794 | 3.2955 | 0.0617 |
21 | 0 | 0.064 | 0 | 0 | 0.3120 | −1.5733 | −0.0071 | 0.1569 | 0.0976 | 0.5666 | 0.3210 | 4.0186 | 0.0372 |
Number of predictive error | 3 | i: Sample No (i = 1 ~ 2) | F0 (2, 20, 0.05) = 3.4928 | ||||||||||
HR hitting ratio (%) | 86 | F0 (2, 20, 0.01 ) = 5.8489 |