Change in the isk-Free Rate

Aaa Corporate Bond Excess Return

Aa Corporate Bond Excess Return

A Corporate Bond Excess Return

Baa Corporate Bond Excess Return

Low Grade Corporate Bond Excess Return

Value -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

Equal -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

30 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

10 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

1 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

1970:1-2011:12

Change in the Risk-Free Rate

1

−0.08

−0.10

−0.14

−0.16

−0.11

−0.14

−0.16

−0.04

−0.05

−0.16

Aaa Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.08

1

0.92

0.89

0.80

0.41

0.27

0.17

0.81

0.83

0.44

Aa Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.10

0.92

1

0.94

0.85

0.48

0.32

0.25

0.73

0.77

0.43

A Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.14

0.89

0.94

1

0.91

0.52

0.35

0.29

0.73

0.75

0.38

Baa Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.16

0.80

0.85

0.91

1

0.60

0.44

0.40

0.61

0.66

0.29

Low Grade Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.11

0.41

0.48

0.52

0.60

1

0.54

0.59

0.17

0.24

0.09

Value -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

−0.14

0.27

0.32

0.35

0.44

0.54

1

0.86

0.10

0.10

−0.09

Equal -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

−0.16

0.17

0.25

0.29

0.40

0.59

0.86

1

0.00

−0.01

−0.05

30 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.04

0.81

0.73

0.73

0.61

0.17

0.10

0.00

1

0.89

0.46

10 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.05

0.83

0.77

0.75

0.66

0.24

0.10

−0.01

0.89

1

0.55

1 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.16

0.44

0.43

0.38

0.29

0.09

−0.09

−0.05

0.46

0.55

1

1970:1-1989:12

Change in the Risk-Free Rate

1

−0.11

−0.15

−0.21

−0.25

−0.22

−0.21

−0.21

−0.06

−0.08

−0.24

Aaa Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.11

1

0.91

0.89

0.85

0.67

0.37

0.25

0.85

0.85

0.60

Aa Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.15

0.91

1

0.93

0.83

0.69

0.40

0.31

0.78

0.78

0.60

A Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.21

0.89

0.93

1

0.87

0.70

0.43

0.35

0.76

0.76

0.55

Baa Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.25

0.85

0.83

0.87

1

0.70

0.47

0.40

0.72

0.72

0.50

Low Grade Corporate Bond Excess Return

−0.22

0.67

0.69

0.70

0.70

1

0.54

0.50

0.53

0.56

0.40

Value -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

−0.21

0.37

0.40

0.43

0.47

0.54

1

0.87

0.33

0.29

0.14

Equal -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

−0.21

0.25

0.31

0.35

0.40

0.50

0.87

1

0.19

0.14

0.11

30 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.06

0.85

0.78

0.76

0.72

0.53

0.33

0.19

1

0.88

0.55

10 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.08

0.85

0.78

0.76

0.72

0.56

0.29

0.14

0.88

1

0.63

1 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.24

0.60

0.60

0.55

0.50

0.40

0.14

0.11

0.55

0.63

1

1989:1-2011:12

Change in the Risk-Free Rate

1

0.03

0.03

0.03

0.05

0.03

0.01

−0.05

0.02

0.03

−0.11

Aaa Corporate Bond Excess Return

0.03

1

0.94

0.88

0.76

0.19

0.14

0.05

0.79

0.81

0.32

Aa Corporate Bond Excess Return

0.03

0.94

1

0.95

0.88

0.33

0.24

0.18

0.69

0.74

0.30

A Corporate Bond Excess Return

0.03

0.88

0.95

1

0.94

0.40

0.27

0.23

0.70

0.75

0.26

Baa Corporate Bond Excess Return

0.05

0.76

0.88

0.94

1

0.54

0.40

0.39

0.51

0.58

0.13

Low Grade Corporate Bond Excess Return

0.03

0.19

0.33

0.40

0.54

1

0.56

0.68

−0.08

−0.03

−0.08

Value -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

0.01

0.14

0.24

0.27

0.40

0.56

1

0.85

−0.12

−0.12

−0.26

Equal -Weighted CRSP Stock Excess Return

−0.05

0.05

0.18

0.23

0.39

0.68

0.85

1

−0.20

−0.20

−0.19

30 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

0.02

0.79

0.69

0.70

0.51

−0.08

−0.12

−0.20

1

0.91

0.40

10 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

0.03

0.81

0.74

0.75

0.58

−0.03

−0.12

−0.20

0.91

1

0.51

1 Year CRSP Government Bond Excess Return

−0.11

0.32

0.30

0.26

0.13

−0.08

−0.26

−0.19

0.40

0.51

1