Parameter

Posterior mean

P-value

Intercept

−7.7523

<0.0001

Log (volume)

0.5269

<0.0001

Length

0.7984

<0.0001

Speed Diff

0.0329

<0.0001

S-curve vs. single curve

0.2163

0.2721

Multiple vs. single curve

0.6136

0.0398

Spring vs. winter

−0.3131

0.0936

Summer vs. winter

−0.3916

0.0502

Fall vs. winter

−0.5374

0.0071

2005 vs. 2011

1.6955

<0.0001

2006 vs. 2011

1.4447

<0.0001

2007 vs. 2011

1.2980

0.0005

2008 vs. 2011

0.8900

0.0226

2009 vs. 2011

0.6567

0.1093

2010 vs. 2011

1.0992

0.0040

Parameters for probability model

Intercept

−1.3295

0.0336