M

N1(M)

Probability of exceedance (% ) for t years

TR (Years)

t = 1

t = 5

t = 10

t = 20

t = 50

t = 100

4.0

38.55

100

100

100

100

100

100

0.03

4.5

13.89

100

100

100

100

100

100

0.07

5.0

5.00

99.3

100

100

100

100

100

0.20

5.5

1.80

83.5

100

100

100

100

100

0.56

6.0

0.65

47.7

96

100

100

100

100

1.54

6.5

0.23

20.8

69

90

99

100

100

4.28

7.0

0.08

8.1

34

57

81

99

100

11.88

7.5

0.03

3.0

14

26

45

78

95

32.99

7.6

0.02

2.4

12

22

39

71

92

40.47