Patients

(N = 234)

Portal hpertension related UGIB

(N = 68)

Non-related portal hypertension UGIB

(N = 166)

AUROC (95% CI)

FRS

Incident

0.664 (0.597 - 0.731)

0.508 (0.358 - 0.658)

0.517 (0.356 - 0.678)

Saignement

0.639 (0.564 - 0.715)

0.467 (0.310 - 0.624)

0.517 (0.356 - 0.678)

Décès

0.717 (0.647 - 0.786)

0.643 (0.481 - 0.840)

0.609 (0.189 - 1.000)

CRS

Incident

0.605 (0.532 - 0.678)

0.490 (0.336 - 0.644)

0.480 (0.329 - 0.638)

Saignement

0.588 (0.507 - 0.669)

0.447 (0.285 - 0.609)

0.484 (0.329 - 0.638)

Décès

0.663 (0.584 - 0.742)

0.636 (0.470 - 0.801)

0.642 (0.249 - 1.000)

GBS

Incident

0.529 (0.456 - 0.603)

0.499 (0.399 - 0.659)

(0.523 (0.369 - 0.677)

Saignement

0.532 (0.452 - (0.612)

0.500 (0.330 - 0.669)

0.523 (0.369 - 0.677)

Décès

0.564 (0.483 - 0.644)

0.542 (0.343 - 0.741)

0.792 (0.607 - 0.977)

mGBS

Incident

0.504 (0.432 - 0.576)

0.497 (0.331 - 0.651)

0.535 (0.390 - 0.679)

Saignement

0.509 (0.433 - 0.584)

0.535 (0.390 - 0.679)

0.522 (0.352 - 0.692)

Décès

0.534 (0.453 - 0.615)

0.525 (0.325 - 0.726)

0.839 (0.680 - 0.990)

AIMS

65

Incident

0.613 (0.544 - 0.682)

0.550 (0.406 - 0.693)

0.493 (0.351 - 0.634)

Saignement

0.589 (0.515 - 0.663)

0.476 (0.330 - 0.623)

0.493 (0.351 - 0.634)

Décès

0.659 (0.580 - 0.737)

0.625 (0.414 - 0.836)

0.549 (0.277 - 0.821)