Model

α

A 0 , α

A 1 , α

A 2 , α

A 3 , α

Intercept only

5

−2.853

0.780

0.548

−0.118

Time trend

5

−3.389

1.213

0.658

−0.126

Intercept only

1

−3.418

0.556

0.636

−0.098

Time trend

1

−3.934

0.998

0.656

−0.044