State Name

Fitted ARIMA Model

U5MR Values

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Andhra Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

38

37

36

35

34

32

31

30

29

28

27

27

26

25

24

23

LCL

32

30

28

26

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

15

14

14

UCL

46

46

46

46

46

46

45

45

44

43

43

42

41

41

40

39

Assam

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

70

68

66

64

63

61

59

58

56

55

53

52

51

49

48

47

LCL

60

59

57

56

54

53

51

50

49

47

46

45

44

43

41

40

UCL

81

79

77

75

73

71

69

67

65

63

62

60

59

57

55

54

Bihar

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

50

48

46

44

43

41

39

38

36

35

33

32

31

30

28

27

LCL

39

36

33

30

28

26

24

23

21

20

19

18

16

16

15

14

UCL

64

64

65

65

64

64

63

62

62

61

60

59

58

57

56

55

Gujarat

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

42

40

38

37

35

34

32

31

30

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

LCL

37

35

33

31

29

27

26

25

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16