State Name

Fitted ARIMA Model

IMR Values

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Andhra Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

28

28

27

27

26

26

25

25

24

24

24

23

23

22

22

22

LCL

23

22

21

20

19

18

18

17

16

16

15

15

14

14

13

13

UCL

35

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

36

Assam

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

30

30

29

28

27

27

26

25

25

24

23

23

22

22

21

21

LCL

19

16

15

13

12

11

10

9

8

8

7

7

6

6

5

5

UCL

49

53

57

61

64

67

69

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

85

87

Bihar

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

32

31

31

30

30

29

28

28

27

27

26

26

25

25

24

24

LCL

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

17

16

16

15

14

14

13

13

12

UCL

42

43

44

44

45

45

45

45

46

46

46

46

46

46

46

46

Gujarat

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

21

20

19

18

17

17

16

15

15

14

13

13

12

12

11

11

LCL

16

15

14

13

12

11

11

10

9

9

8

8

7

7

7

6

UCL

26

26

26

25

25

24

24

23

23

22

22

21

21

20

20

19

Haryana

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

31

30

29

29

28

28

27

27

26

25

25

24

24

23

23

22

LCL

24

23

21

20

19

18

17

16

15

15

14

14

13

12

12

11

UCL

39

40

41

42

42

43

43

43

44

44

44

44

44

44

44

44

Himachal Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

23

23

22

22

21

21

20

20

20

19

19

18

18

17

17

17

LCL

15

15

14

13

12

12

11

11

10

10

9

9

9

8

8

8

UCL

35

36

36

36

37

37

37

37

37

37

37

37

37

37

37

37

Karnataka

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

23

23

22

22

21

21

20

20

20

19

19

18

18

18

17

17

LCL

15

14

12

11

11

10

9

9

8

8

7

7

6

6

6

5

UCL

35

38

39

41

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

52

53

Kerala

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

8

8

8

8

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

6

6

5

5

LCL

5

5

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

UCL

14

14

15

15

16

16

16

16

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

Madhya Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

35

34

33

33

32

31

30

30

29

28

28

27

26

26

25

24

LCL

30

28

27

26

25

24

23

22

21

20

20

19

18

18

17

16

UCL

42

42

41

41

41

41

40

40

39

39

39

38

38

37

37

36

Maharashtra

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

15

15

14

14

13

13

12

12

11

11

10

10

10

9

9

9

LCL

12

12

11

10

10

9

9

8

8

8

7

7

7

6

6

6

UCL

19

18

18

18

17

17

16

16

16

15

15

14

14

14

13

13

Orissa

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

37

36

36

35

34

34

33

33

32

31

31

30

30

29

29

28

LCL

30

29

27

26

25

24

23

22

21

21

20

19

19

18

17

17

UCL

44

45

46

47

47

47

47

48

48

48

48

48

48

48

48

48

Punjab

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

26

25

25

24

24

23

22

22

21

21

21

20

20

19

19

18