State Name

Fitted ARIMA Model

NNMR Values

Year

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Andhra Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

10

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

LCL

6

6

5

5

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

UCL

15

16

16

16

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

Assam

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

9

8

8

8

7

7

6

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

LCL

5

5

4

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

UCL

15

15

15

16

16

16

16

15

15

15

15

15

14

14

14

14

Bihar

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

10

10

9

9

9

8

8

8

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

LCL

7

6

6

6

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

UCL

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

14

14

14

14

14

13

13

13

13

Gujarat

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

16

15

15

14

14

13

13

12

12

11

11

11

10

10

10

9

LCL

11

10

10

9

9

8

8

7

7

7

6

6

6

5

5

5

UCL

21

21

21

21

21

21

21

21

21

20

20

20

19

19

19

19

Haryana

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

21

20

20

20

20

19

19

19

19

19

18

18

18

18

17

17

LCL

14

13

13

13

13

12

12

12

12

11

11

11

11

11

10

10

UCL

31

31

31

31

31

30

30

30

30

30

30

30

30

29

29

29

Himachal Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

14

14

14

14

13

13

13

13

12

12

12

12

12

11

11

11

LCL

8

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

7

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

UCL

27

27

26

26

25

25

24

24

24

23

23

22

22

21

21

21

Karnataka

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

11

11

11

10

10

10

10

9

9

9

9

8

8

8

8

8

LCL

8

7

7

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

UCL

16

16

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

17

Kerala

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

LCL

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

UCL

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

3

3

3

3

Madhya Pradesh

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

23

23

23

22

22

21

21

20

20

19

19

19

18

18

18

17

LCL

18

17

17

16

16

15

15

14

14

13

13

13

12

12

12

11

UCL

31

30

30

30

30

29

29

29

29

28

28

28

27

27

27

26

Maharashtra

(0, 1, 1)

Predicted

13

12

12

12

11

11

11

10

10

10

10

9

9

9

9

8