Variance Decomposition of D(FEDR):

Period

S.E.

D(FEDR)

D(ZARX)

D(R)

D(SAP)

D(YGAP)

1

0.427389

100.0000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

2

0.558277

82.68686

0.048313

5.934346

0.269795

11.06068

3

0.569148

80.15342

0.087374

8.562160

0.276572

10.92048

4

0.577272

78.68178

0.090746

8.712026

1.638920

10.87653

5

0.584321

77.76533

0.094215

8.521967

1.796503

11.82199

6

0.590564

76.29065

0.105795

9.495040

1.860574

12.24794

7

0.602353

73.40171

0.625947

10.69202

1.852463

13.42786

8

0.606995

72.29466

0.714942

10.63185

1.931420

14.42713

9

0.615400

70.37089

0.696009

10.35368

2.140986

16.43844

10

0.620434

69.24601

0.697387

10.18739

2.144996

17.72422

11

0.622536

68.78564

0.737122

10.12645

2.138237

18.21256

12

0.623971

68.60596

0.759510

10.08526

2.140907

18.40837

13

0.624627

68.55925

0.798529

10.10633

2.154063

18.38183

14

0.625562

68.40445

0.853328

10.13045

2.221759

18.39002

15

0.626223

68.27411

0.861670

10.13275

2.272230

18.45925

16

0.626902

68.12646

0.860499

10.12342

2.309725

18.57990

17

0.627597

67.98253

0.865547

10.11126

2.334372

18.70629

18

0.628020

67.91561

0.879996

10.10304

2.347322

18.75403

19

0.628351

67.89576

0.896643

10.09321

2.352137

18.76225

20

0.628553

67.89671

0.908560

10.08698

2.351734

18.75602

Variance Decomposition of D(ZARX):

Period

S.E.

D(FEDR)

D(ZARX)

D(R)

D(SAP)

D(YGAP)

1

0.414610

5.501757

94.49824

0.000000

0.000000

0.000000

2

0.438567

7.715469

88.26320

1.575933

2.427678

0.017720

3

0.449118

8.869899

85.37842

2.001019

3.497691

0.252968

4

0.464289

10.97502

80.70363

2.891319

4.172603

1.257424

5

0.468852

10.82615

79.39751

3.224527

4.681272

1.870539

6

0.474203

12.22120

77.63839

3.183798

5.091769

1.864845

7

0.479915

13.19915

75.80118

3.454089

5.078582

2.466991

8

0.482216

13.78638

75.24664

3.425210

5.032953

2.508818

9

0.483403

14.07201

74.93798

3.413910

5.038115

2.537991

10

0.483833

14.19199

74.83170

3.409304

5.030874

2.536135

11

0.484406

14.24792

74.65883

3.428408

5.022810

2.642039

12

0.485025

14.21390

74.46833

3.555968

5.011253

2.750545