P1

P2

probability: p = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i

[ P 1 P 2 ] P 1

[ P 1 P 2 ] P 1 P 2

T

T

p 12 = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( T , T ) } )

T

T

T

F

p 1 2 ¯ = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( T , F ) } )

F

T

F

T

p 1 ¯ 2 = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( F , T ) } )

F

T

F

F

p 1 ¯ 2 ¯ = × i = 1 , 2 q p μ i ( { ( F , F ) } )

F

T