| Tentative model | ARIMA (0, 1, 1) | ARIMA (1, 1, 0) | ARIMA (2, 1, 0) | ARIMA (1, 1, 1) | ARIMA (0, 1, 2) | ARIMA (1, 1, 2) | ARIMA (2, 1, 2) | ARIMA (3, 1, 0) |
| AIC | 535.51 | 535.55 | 537.31 | 537.44 | 537.81 | 538.81 | 538.93 | 539.29 |
| Rank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ** | **** |
|
| Tentative model | ARIMA (2, 1, 1) | ARIMA (0, 1, 3) | ARIMA (1, 1, 3) | ARIMA (3, 1, 1) | ARIMA (0, 1, 4) | ARIMA (4, 1, 0) | ARIMA (4, 1, 1) | ARIMA (1, 1, 4) |
| AIC | 539.3 | 539.29 | 540.77 | 540.78 | 541.12 | 541.28 | 542.72 | 543.28 |
| Rank | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| Tentative model | ARIMA (3, 1, 2) | ARIMA (3, 1, 3) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| AIC | 543.29 | 544.17 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rank | 17 | 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|