Notation

Value

Description

Reference

$\alpha$

0.1818

Trans. rate of persons in state E (day⁻¹)

[1]

$\eta =\theta$

$\frac{1}{14}$

Trans. rate of persons in state $I_u\mathrm{,}{I}_r$ to state R (day⁻¹)

[1]

f

0.7

Fraction of asymptomatic infectious that become reported symptomatic

fixed

$\beta$

$\frac{1}{7}$

Trans. rate of a persons in state I (day⁻¹)

[11]

${\beta }_1=f\beta$

0.1

Rate at which asymptomatic infectious become reported symptomatic

${\beta }_2=\left(1-f\right)\beta$

0.0428

Rate at which asymptomatic infectious become unreported symptomatic

$t_0$

Time at which the epidemic started

fitted

$S_0$

Number of susceptible at time $t_0$

fitted

$I_0$

Number of asymptomatic infectious at time $t_0$

fitted

$I_{r_0}$

Number of unreported symptomatic infectious at time $t_0$

fitted

$\gamma$

Transmission rate

fitted