d*

${\sigma }_{Y_t}$

$\left(\sigma =1\right)$

Fit to 4 points

Fit to 3 points

Exponential

Quadratic

Exponential

Quadratic

Fits

Residual

Fits

Residual

Fits

Residual

Fits

Residual

1

1.0000

0.8333

0.1667

1.0711

−0.0711

0.8957

0.1043

1.0000

0.0000

2

1.4142

1.8276

−0.4134

1.2010

0.2132

1.7627

−0.3485

1.4142

0.0000

3

3.8730

4.0084

−0.1354

4.0862

−0.2132

3.4690

0.4040

3.8730

0.0000

4

9.7980

8.7916

1.0064

9.7269

0.0711

5

30.7409

6

100.8464

7

367.6071

8

1419.8591

9

5870.2151

10

25,570.2180

MAPE

14.9181

7.1044

15.1664

0.0000

MAD

0.4305

0.1422

0.2856

0.0000

MD

0.3075

0.0253

0.0986

0.0000