forecast

observation

T639

ECMWF

Japan

Multi-model integrated

ECMWF ensemble forecast

Subjective Forecast

Precipitation in the eastern part of the Northeast China

Basically consistent, Local precipitation above 50 mm omission

consistent

Basically consistent, precipitation range above 50 mm is too large

Basically consistent, Local precipitation above 50 mm omission

consistent

Basically consistent, Local precipitation above 50 mm omission

Precipitation in the eastern part of the northwest and southwest China, Jianghuai, Jiangnan

The rain belt is obviously northward

The location of rain belt is good, while precipitation in Jiangnan forecasts weaker

The rain belt is northward, and the precipitation center deviates greatly

Precipitation range above 25 mm forecasts northward

The location of rain belt is good, while precipitation in Jiangnan forecasts weaker

The rain belt is northward and the precipitation in Huanghuai forecasts too large

Precipitation in the South China

Precipitation forecasts obviously weaker