Variable nature

Variable name

Variable symbol

Variable definitions

Explained variable

Equity compensation incentive

Incentive

See formula (1)

Explanatory variables

Executive overconfidence

OC

Profit forecasting method

Company level

Control variable

Separation of two posts

Separation

Take 1 when the chairman and general manager are not the same person, otherwise take 0

Growth

Growth

(Main income of the current period − main income of the previous period)/main income of the previous period

R & D intensity

Research

R & D expenses/main business income

Return on total assets

ROA

Return on total assets, total profit/total assets

Market ratio

PB

Total market value/net assets

Stock return

Return

Annual return on individual stocks

Company market value

Value

Natural logarithm of the company’s market capitalization

Company age

Firm age

Number of years from the company’s listing to the statistical deadline

Fixed assets

Fixasset

The natural logarithm of the company’s fixed assets

Financial leverage

Lev

Asset-liability ratio, total liabilities/total assets

Nature of property

State

The value is 1 when the company is a central/local state-owned enterprise, otherwise it is 0.

Equity concentration

COCEN

Proportion of the top ten shareholders of the company

Executive level

Control variable

Average age of executives

Age

Average age of all senior managers

Executive average term

Tenure

Average term of all senior management