Method 3b

Method 3c

Variables (LR part)

AUC OOB** (LR part)

Variables (LDA part)

AUC OOB** (LDA part)

AUC OOB*** (all)

Variables

AUC OOB** (LR part)

AUC OOB** (LDA part)

AUC OOB*** (all)

NT-proBNP

0.7246

NT-proBNP

0.7246

0.7246

NT-proBNP

0.7246

0.7246

0.7246

NYHA ≥ III

0.7482

NYHA ≥ III

0.7523

0.7523

NYHA ≥ III

0.7482

0.7523

0.7523

NYHA ≥ II

0.7550

Glycemia

0.7591

0.7625

Glycemia

0.7559

0.7591

0.7592

Glycemia

0.7621

NYHA ≥ II

0.7642

0.7642

NYHA ≥ II

0.7624

0.7642

0.7642

Periph. edema ≥ “above”

0.7687

Paroxystic AF

0.7683

0.7721

Paroxystic AF

0.7669

0.7683

0.7685

Beta-blockers

0.7731

Systolic BP

0.7725

0.7801

Systolic BP

0.7721

0.7725

0.7733

Systolic BP

0.7791

Beta-blockers

0.7770

0.7818

Beta-blockers

0.7781

0.7770

0.7789

Cholesterol HDL

0.7835

Cholesterol HDL

0.7807

0.7856

Cholesterol HDL

0.7823

0.7807

0.7829

Paroxystic AF

0.7864

Uricemia

0.7839

0.7886

Uricemia

0.7860

0.7839

0.7865

Uricemia

0.7902

Third heart sound

0.7866

0.7916

Third heart sound

0.7883

0.7866

0.7888

Bilirubin

0.7925

Periph. edema ≥ “above”

0.7891

0.7935

Periph. edema ≥ “above”

0.7923

0.7891

0.7926

Implantable defibrillator

0.7948

Implantable defibrillator

0.7912

0.7956

Implantable defibrillator

0.7941

0.7912

0.7945

Neoplasia

0.7966

Neoplasia

0.7930

0.7975

Neoplasia

0.7958

0.7930

0.7961

Third heart sound

0.7984

Triglycerides

0.7949

0.7990

Triglycerides

0.7979

0.7949

0.7981

Heart rate

0.8001

Heart rate

0.7965

0.8009

Heart rate

0.7998

0.7965

0.7999

Previous AMI

0.8020

Bilirubin

0.7980

0.8026

Bilirubin

0.8019

0.7980

0.8019

Triglycerides

0.8038

Previous AMI

0.7995

0.8038

Previous AMI

0.8036

0.7995

0.8036

LVEF (baseline)

0.8052

LVEF

0.8011

0.8052

LVEF

0.8052

0.8011

0.8052

Hypertension

0.8067

Mitral insufficiency

0.8028

0.8069

Mitral insufficiency

0.8064

0.8028

0.8064

Mitral insufficiency

0.8080

Diuretics

0.8039

0.8082

Diuretics

0.8070

0.8039

0.8070

Smoker or ex-smoker

0.8091

Hypertension

0.8051

0.8094

Hypertension

0.8084

0.8051

0.8084

Ascitis

0.8104

Smoker or ex-smoker

0.8060

0.8105

Smoker or ex-smoker

0.8093

0.8060

0.8093

Periph. edema ≥ “ankles”

0.8116

Periph. edema ≥ “ankles”

0.8069

0.8117

Periph. edema ≥ “ankles”

0.8101

0.8069

0.8101

NYHA ≥ IV

0.8119

Ascitis

0.8081

0.8121

Ascitis

0.8119

0.8081

0.8119

BMI

0.8130

BMI

0.8093

0.8131

BMI

0.8131

0.8093

0.8131

Mid-apical pulm. Rales

0.8137