| Method 3b | Method 3c | |||||||
| Variables (LR part) | AUC OOB** (LR part) | Variables (LDA part) | AUC OOB** (LDA part) | AUC OOB*** (all) | Variables | AUC OOB** (LR part) | AUC OOB** (LDA part) | AUC OOB*** (all) |
| NT-proBNP | 0.7246 | NT-proBNP | 0.7246 | 0.7246 | NT-proBNP | 0.7246 | 0.7246 | 0.7246 |
| NYHA ≥ III | 0.7482 | NYHA ≥ III | 0.7523 | 0.7523 | NYHA ≥ III | 0.7482 | 0.7523 | 0.7523 |
| NYHA ≥ II | 0.7550 | Glycemia | 0.7591 | 0.7625 | Glycemia | 0.7559 | 0.7591 | 0.7592 |
| Glycemia | 0.7621 | NYHA ≥ II | 0.7642 | 0.7642 | NYHA ≥ II | 0.7624 | 0.7642 | 0.7642 |
| Periph. edema ≥ “above” | 0.7687 | Paroxystic AF | 0.7683 | 0.7721 | Paroxystic AF | 0.7669 | 0.7683 | 0.7685 |
| Beta-blockers | 0.7731 | Systolic BP | 0.7725 | 0.7801 | Systolic BP | 0.7721 | 0.7725 | 0.7733 |
| Systolic BP | 0.7791 | Beta-blockers | 0.7770 | 0.7818 | Beta-blockers | 0.7781 | 0.7770 | 0.7789 |
| Cholesterol HDL | 0.7835 | Cholesterol HDL | 0.7807 | 0.7856 | Cholesterol HDL | 0.7823 | 0.7807 | 0.7829 |
| Paroxystic AF | 0.7864 | Uricemia | 0.7839 | 0.7886 | Uricemia | 0.7860 | 0.7839 | 0.7865 |
| Uricemia | 0.7902 | Third heart sound | 0.7866 | 0.7916 | Third heart sound | 0.7883 | 0.7866 | 0.7888 |
| Bilirubin | 0.7925 | Periph. edema ≥ “above” | 0.7891 | 0.7935 | Periph. edema ≥ “above” | 0.7923 | 0.7891 | 0.7926 |
| Implantable defibrillator | 0.7948 | Implantable defibrillator | 0.7912 | 0.7956 | Implantable defibrillator | 0.7941 | 0.7912 | 0.7945 |
| Neoplasia | 0.7966 | Neoplasia | 0.7930 | 0.7975 | Neoplasia | 0.7958 | 0.7930 | 0.7961 |
| Third heart sound | 0.7984 | Triglycerides | 0.7949 | 0.7990 | Triglycerides | 0.7979 | 0.7949 | 0.7981 |
| Heart rate | 0.8001 | Heart rate | 0.7965 | 0.8009 | Heart rate | 0.7998 | 0.7965 | 0.7999 |
| Previous AMI | 0.8020 | Bilirubin | 0.7980 | 0.8026 | Bilirubin | 0.8019 | 0.7980 | 0.8019 |
| Triglycerides | 0.8038 | Previous AMI | 0.7995 | 0.8038 | Previous AMI | 0.8036 | 0.7995 | 0.8036 |
| LVEF (baseline) | 0.8052 | LVEF | 0.8011 | 0.8052 | LVEF | 0.8052 | 0.8011 | 0.8052 |
| Hypertension | 0.8067 | Mitral insufficiency | 0.8028 | 0.8069 | Mitral insufficiency | 0.8064 | 0.8028 | 0.8064 |
| Mitral insufficiency | 0.8080 | Diuretics | 0.8039 | 0.8082 | Diuretics | 0.8070 | 0.8039 | 0.8070 |
| Smoker or ex-smoker | 0.8091 | Hypertension | 0.8051 | 0.8094 | Hypertension | 0.8084 | 0.8051 | 0.8084 |
| Ascitis | 0.8104 | Smoker or ex-smoker | 0.8060 | 0.8105 | Smoker or ex-smoker | 0.8093 | 0.8060 | 0.8093 |
| Periph. edema ≥ “ankles” | 0.8116 | Periph. edema ≥ “ankles” | 0.8069 | 0.8117 | Periph. edema ≥ “ankles” | 0.8101 | 0.8069 | 0.8101 |
| NYHA ≥ IV | 0.8119 | Ascitis | 0.8081 | 0.8121 | Ascitis | 0.8119 | 0.8081 | 0.8119 |
| BMI | 0.8130 | BMI | 0.8093 | 0.8131 | BMI | 0.8131 | 0.8093 | 0.8131 |
| Mid-apical pulm. Rales | 0.8137 |
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