Scenarios | CORE | CORE | INTERMEDIATE | INTERMEDIATE | CONSTANT | CONSTANT | |
Main results | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 |
Prevalence | 300.769 | 644.738 | 1.183.630 | 564.781 | 862.623 | 516.239 | 660.102 |
Comp 0 | 166.327 | 372.443 | 708.091 | 320.497 | 504.314 | 270.745 | 320.276 |
Comp 1 | 57.415 | 123.738 | 219.485 | 112.333 | 171.215 | 106.545 | 139.486 |
Comp 2 | 77.027 | 148.557 | 256.055 | 131.951 | 187.094 | 138.949 | 200.340 |
Incidence | 29.451 | 46.756 | 62.694 | 34.289 | 35.967 | 34.289 | 35.967 |
Mortality | 11.714 | 16.139 | 23.443 | 14.246 | 17.125 | 21.080 | 29.281 |
Costs | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 |
Health care | 725.464.495 | 1.431.166.663 | 2.455.206.345 | 1.286.964.483 | 1.842.156.831 | 1.315.790.252 | 1.850.934.097 |
Pharma | 149.953.681 | 306.038.534 | 532.748.176 | 274.264.799 | 400.288.479 | 267.676.403 | 359.781.970 |
Nursing | 849.715.906 | 1.619.462.228 | 2.706.184.561 | 1.468.784.708 | 2.063.159.419 | 1.544.346.999 | 2.236.535.856 |
Prod | 1.750.025.792 | 3.064.095.305 | 4.923.289.744 | 2.746.838.024 | 3.698.946.354 | 3.127.797.930 | 4.207.509.369 |
Add | 761.956.851 | 1.529.690.283 | 2.638.947.964 | 1.369.600.181 | 1.974.463.293 | 1.356.548.093 | 1.849.550.722 |
Total | 4.237.116.724 | 7.950.453.013 | 13.256.376.791 | 7.146.452.195 | 9.979.014.377 | 7.576.581.375 | 10.452.804.987 |
Costs | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 |
Comp 0 | 1.000.175.623 | 2.136.663.476 | 3.976.831.728 | 1.848.713.102 | 2.829.576.658 | 1.653.206.164 | 1.942.921.596 |
Comp 1 | 780.825.699 | 1.587.383.184 | 2.735.883.493 | 1.452.635.301 | 2.152.000.515 | 1.486.812.323 | 1.966.885.574 |
Comp 2 | 2.456.115.402 | 4.226.406.354 | 6.543.661.570 | 3.845.103.792 | 4.997.437.204 | 4.436.562.888 | 6.542.997.816 |
Total | 4.237.116.724 | 7.950.453.013 | 13.256.376.791 | 7.146.452.195 | 9.979.014.377 | 7.576.581.375 | 10.452.804.987 |
Cost per PYRS | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 |
Health care | 2.412 | 2.220 | 2.074 | 2.279 | 2.136 | 2.549 | 2.804 |
Pharma | 499 | 475 | 450 | 486 | 464 | 519 | 545 |
Nursing | 2.825 | 2.512 | 2.286 | 2.601 | 2.392 | 2.992 | 3.388 |
Prod | 5.819 | 4.752 | 4.159 | 4.864 | 4.288 | 6.059 | 6.374 |
Add | 2.533 | 2.373 | 2.230 | 2.425 | 2.289 | 2.628 | 2.802 |
Total | 14.088 | 12.331 | 11.200 | 12.653 | 11.568 | 14.676 | 15.835 |
Cost per PYRS | |||||||
Comp 0 | 6.013 | 5.737 | 5.616 | 5.768 | 5.611 | 6.106 | 6.066 |
Comp 1 | 13.600 | 12.829 | 12.465 | 12.932 | 12.569 | 13.955 | 14.101 |
Comp 2 | 31.887 | 28.450 | 25.556 | 29.140 | 26.711 | 31.929 | 32.659 |
Total | 14.088 | 12.331 | 11.200 | 12.653 | 11.568 | 14.676 | 15.835 |
CostsComp 0 | 2011 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 | 2025 | 2040 |
Health care | 89.858.530 | 192.519.334 | 357.882.722 | 167.209.450 | 254.934.374 | 146.323.763 | 173.757.001 |
Pharma | 49.838.798 | 110.062.768 | 207.478.714 | 95.344.235 | 147.955.413 | 81.928.854 | 96.563.562 |
Nursing | 42.624.350 | 94.604.864 | 179.036.012 | 82.877.432 | 130.048.675 | 73.656.667 | 91.717.861 |
Prod | 570.851.210 | 1.193.708.678 | 2.203.162.563 | 1.030.274.736 | 1.561.946.494 | 944.518.912 | 1.100.545.460 |
Add | 247.002.735 | 545.767.832 | 1.029.271.717 | 473.007.250 | 734.691.702 | 406.777.968 | 480.337.711 |
Total | 1.000.175.623 | 2.136.663.476 | 3.976.831.728 | 1.848.713.102 | 2.829.576.658 | 1.653.206.164 | 1.942.921.596 |
CostsComp 1 | |||||||
Health care | 140.219.673 | 302.987.736 | 535.364.206 | 276.895.072 | 420.743.614 | 265.840.227 | 352.108.316 |
Pharma | 41.115.818 | 87.645.991 | 152.374.975 | 80.431.870 | 120.556.747 | 78.113.986 | 104.168.247 |
Nursing | 132.137.580 | 279.397.935 | 486.999.832 | 256.937.075 | 387.705.039 | 251.399.983 | 339.344.222 |
Prod | 342.957.246 | 651.973.536 | 1.099.551.688 | 594.900.265 | 857.994.243 | 655.209.285 | 856.531.503 |
Add | 124.395.382 | 265.377.986 | 461.592.792 | 243.471.020 | 365.000.871 | 236.248.842 | 314.733.286 |
Total | 780.825.699 | 1.587.383.184 | 2.735.883.493 | 1.452.635.301 | 2.152.000.515 | 1.486.812.323 | 1.966.885.574 |
Costs Comp 2 | |||||||
Health care | 495.386.292 | 935.659.594 | 1.561.959.417 | 842.859.962 | 1.166.478.842 | 903.626.263 | 1.325.068.780 |
Pharma | 58.999.065 | 108.329.774 | 172.894.487 | 98.488.694 | 131.776.319 | 107.633.562 | 159.050.161 |
Nursing | 674.953.976 | 1.245.459.429 | 2.040.148.717 | 1.128.970.201 | 1.545.405.705 | 1.219.290.350 | 1.805.473.773 |
Prod | 836.217.336 | 1.218.413.092 | 1.620.575.493 | 1.121.663.023 | 1.279.005.617 | 1.528.069.732 | 2.250.432.405 |
Add | 390.558.733 | 718.544.466 | 1.148.083.456 | 653.121.912 | 874.770.720 | 713.521.284 | 1.054.479.725 |
Total | 2.456.115.402 | 4.226.406.354 | 6.543.661.570 | 3.845.103.792 | 4.997.437.204 | 4.436.562.888 | 6.542.997.816 |