Scenario | Drivers | Description |
Core Continuation of trends | Incidence | Continuation of 2001-2011 observed increasing trend |
Mortality | Continuation of 2001-2011 observed decreasing trend until X | |
Complication rate transitions | Continuation of 2001-2011 observed trends: reduction in transition from CG0 to CG1 and CG2 until X | |
Intermediate Stagnation in incidence + continuation of trends in morbidity and mortality | Incidence | Stabile rate as observed in 2011 |
Mortality | Continuation of 2001-2011 observed decreasing trend until X | |
Complication rate transitions | Continuation of 2001-2011 observed trends: reduction in transition from CG0 to CG1 and CG2 until X | |
Constant Continuation of 2011 level | Incidence | Stabile rate as observed in 2011 |
Mortality | Stabile rate as observed in 2011 | |
Complication rate transitions | Stabile rate as observed in 2011 |