| Hypotheses | Core | |
| Description | Continuation of observed epidemiological trends and 2011 cost structure | |
| 2025 | 2040 | |
| Total costs | ∈7,934,796,435 | ∈13,230,271,423 |
| Core adjusted−H4a | ||
| Effiency improvements in health care (annual −1%) | ||
| 2025 | 2040 | |
| Total costs | ∈7,747,319,738 | ∈12,610,749,158 |
| cost difference 2011 Core | ∈187,476,697 | ∈619,522,265 |
| Core adjusted−H4b | ||
| Efficiency improvements in nursing (annual −1%) | ||
| 2025 | 2040 | |
| Total costs | ∈7,722,653,826 | ∈12,547,419,820 |
| cost difference 2011 Core | ∈212,142,608 | ∈682,851,603 |
| Core adjusted−H5 | ||
| Reduced usage of nursing services (annual −2.5%) | ||
| 2025 | 2040 | |
| Total costs | ∈7,452,435,378 | ∈11,825,506,131 |
| cost difference 2011 Core | ∈482,361,057 | ∈1,404,765,292 |
| Core adjusted−H6 | ||
| Reduced usage of secondary care (annual −2.5%) | ||
| 2025 | 2040 | |
| Total costs | ∈7,522,166,828 | ∈11,994,126,929 |
| cost difference 2011 Core | ∈412,629,607 | ∈1,236,144,494 |
| Core adjusted−H7 | ||
| Reduced productivity loss among patients in CG0 (annual −2.5%) | ||
| 2025 | 2040 | |
| Total costs | ∈7,655,644,969 | ∈12,332,342,573 |
| cost difference 2011 Core | ∈279,151,466 | ∈897,928,850 |