Region

Results averaged over GCMs and calendar years

1995 climate with 2010 population

2050 climate with 2050 population

2090 climate with 2090 population

1995 climate with 2050 population

1995 climate with 2090 population

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

RCP4.5

Northeast

47

171

252

65

79

Southeast

17

138

231

26

30

Ohio Valley

101

201

263

133

153

Upper Midwest

52

99

125

61

64

East South Central

80

216

288

112

130

Northern Rockies and Plains

32

111

179

49

65

Southwesta

164

253

309

241

291

Westa

239

380

473

366

452

Northwesta

21

27

31

27

31

West South Central

219

414

549

347

441

Total cases

971

2010

2699

1425

1736

Total casesa

548

1350

1886

792

962

RCP8.5

Northeast

47

212

524

65

79

Southeast

17

197

646

26

30

Ohio Valley

101

231

464

133

153

Upper Midwest

52

112

223

61

64

East South Central

80

250

509

112

130

Northern Rockies and Plains

32

134

365

49

65

Southwesta

164

257

325

241

291

Westa

239

385

495

366

452

Northwesta

21

27

32

27

31

West South Central

219

439

671

347

441

Total cases

971

2244

4253

1425

1736

Total casesb

548

1575

3403

792

962