Year (t)

Percentage of changes on Aceh (%)

(ROR)t

(ROR)t+1

(ΣIT)t

(ΣIT)t+1

(GDP)t

(GDP)t+1

Terrorist attack, Bali

2002

38.42

−11.5

−30

−46

18

530

Tsunami, Aceh

2004

1.3

−2.5

−97.69

5218

−3

12