Prior Probability of Guilt (G)

P (E|I)

P (E|G)

Post. Odds

P (G|E)

.25

.50

1.0

.66

.40

.25

.25

1.0

1.33

.57

.50

.50

1.0

2.00

.66

.50

.25

1.0

4.00

.80