Effect | Quantities and values |
Saved driver costs for long-distance | 15% of long-distance transport by AV in 2025 is driver-free, 50% in 2050 |
Saved driver costs for other transport by truck | 10% of distribution and 20% of construction vehicles that are AVs are driver-free in 2025, 50% in 2040. |
Saved fuel and environmental costs due to convoy driving | convoy = 10% of long-distance in 2025, 50% in 2040; 10% saved fuel |
Increased traffic safety | 10% fewer accidents in 2025 and 30% in 2040 compared with today |
Net benefit new traffic and added post for difference between price and MC | Price elasticity of demand for long-distance is −0.8, other transport −0.5; price 20% over marginal cost |
Adjustment post: transferred traffic from train | 5% of new long-distance transport transferred from train |