N

Name

Lead time*

Origin place

Alarm rate**

Estimated PG

Probable mechanism***

1

Seismic foreshocks

30 - 40 days

Ground

~20%

~0.8 - 2

Fracturing by WGM

2

Water flux, gas chemistry

20 - 50 days

Ground

?

> 1

WGM

3

AE-tide synchronism

21 - 28 days

Ground

~80%,one site

~3 - 5

Fracture triggering

4

ULF magnetic field noise

20 - 50 days

Ground

?

~1

EKE by WGM

5

IR temperature from satellite

6 - 12 days

Ground surface

?

>1

WGM

6

VLF, LF sounding

1 - 7 days

Upper atmosphere

~50%,one site

~3 - 5

AGW

7

HF scattering

2 - 5 days

Troposphere

?

~2 - 4

AGW

8

ULF/ELF changes

2 - 7 days

Troposphere

~70%,one site

~2 - 6

AGW or infrasound

9

ULF depression

2 - 4 days

Ionosphere

~50%,one site

~2 - 4

IT modification

10

VLF signal scattering

2 - 10 days

Ionosphere

?

~0.5 - 5

IT modification