Major Variables

Base Case 1

Uncertainty Profile 1.1

Traffic income

( Femern A/S, 2014b , Section 5.3)

Uniformly distributed uncertainty factor on road traffic income [0.85; 1.0]

Coast-to-coast construction costs

excl. reserves

DKK 40.5 billion

Uniform distribution

DKK [40.5; 49.4] billion

EU subsidies

DKK 10.3 billion

Uniform distribution

DKK [4.4; 10.3] billion

Payback period (PBP)

by Monte Carlo simulation

37 years

Red: 36.6%

Yellow: 55.9%

Green: 7.5%

Total construction costs

incl. reserves

DKK 62.2 billion

DKK [62.2; 64.4] billion

Total reserves

30%

[14; 30]%